Beating Points Projections: Players to Watch

In this article, I will cover three players for whom I am taking the over on their points projections on prominent betting sites. I used Stake.bet for these. These numbers can help influence our fantasy draft day decision-making as well when it comes to chasing points.

Cade Cunningham

2023/24 average points per game is projected at 21.1 points

Cade only played 12 games last year due to a shin injury and averaged 19.9 points per game in that limited sample size. Looking closely at those numbers, Cade shot 28% from three and his two-point percentage was lower than his rookie year thus resulting in a drop in eFG% from year one to year two. I anticipate all of these numbers to come up, in particular, his three-point percentage, couple this with the usual third-year jump that players of his pedigree take in scoring. I project at minimum a 22.5 points average being the clear-cut number 1 option in Detroit.

Tyrese Haliburton

2023/24 average points per game is projected at 21.2 points

Tyrese averaged 20.7 points per game last season. Over the last two months of the season, he averaged 24.2 points. From an efficiency standpoint, he is already elite from both two-point and three-point range. His ability to create his own shot improved as the season went on and I would anticipate jumps in his free throw as well as field goal attempts this year. With Indiana seemingly aiming for the playoffs this year, I anticipate a more aggressive Tyrese and as such project his scoring to average 23.0 points.

Jordan Poole

2023/24 average points per game is projected at 24.1 points

Jordan averaged 20.4 points per game last season. Overall according to Basketball Index, his overall shooting numbers came down in terms of shot-making, quality, and creation last year. However, In the 26 games without Stephen Curry in the lineup, his scoring ballooned to 26.1 points per game. He enters a Wizards team where he will clearly be the first option on offense alongside Kyle Kuzma. There is scope for improvement on both his two-point and three-point percentages from last year and I project at least a 26.0 points average.

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