Fourth-year players and their fantasy outlook for 2023/24

In this piece, I'm shedding light on three players entering their fourth year this season digging into their post-All-Star break performances, and peering ahead to what the upcoming season holds. A lot of the chatter will go for the more prominent names such as Lamelo Ball, Tyrese Haliburton, and Anthony Edwards, and rightfully so. As such I thought I’d take a closer look at three fourth-year players with some intriguing questions around their impact this season that may not be as clear as the big guns.

Tre Jones

Per-Game Numbers: 13.3 points, 0.6 three-pointers, 3.6 rebounds, 7.7 assists, 1.3 steals, 0.1 blocks, 54.5 FG%, 77.3 FT%, 28.7 minutes

Jones had a strong finish to the season, comfortably finishing in the top 90 post all-star break, even higher if one looks at turnovers. He is effective in a slasher, table-setting point guard role, with exceptional finishing at the rim for a guard. This year, I project he would be locked into a starting PG role, and since Cameron Payne was waived, his minutes are more secure.

Fantasy Outlook: Yahoo ADP is currently 110 and I think that is a value pick. His assists and steals boost along with really good FG% for a PG, is valuable in drafts and I’m okay going for him anywhere after pick 90.

Patrick Williams

Per-Game Numbers: 10.2 points, 1.4 three-pointers, 3.0 rebounds, 0.9 assists, 1.0 steals, 1.0 blocks, 48.1 FG%, 78.8 FT%, 26.4 minutes

Williams is already a good defender who usually gets the toughest wing assignment on defense for the Bulls every night. I can see a pathway for his minutes to easily exceed 30, as there is a dearth of wings on this team. He has shown an ability to be a >40% three-point shooter albeit on limited volume and the archetype is there to be a 3 and D fantasy player like an OG Anunoby who is regularly seen in the top 60 on draft boards.

Fantasy Outlook: Yahoo ADP is currently 150 and I would be more than happy to get him there, even perhaps a few rounds earlier, post pick 120. He averaged more than a block and a steal in 26 minutes, and this can go up, along with his points, rebounds, and threes in more minutes this year.

Devin Vassell

Per-Game Numbers: 15.6 points, 2.3 three-pointers, 3.7 rebounds, 3.6 assists, 0.9 steals, 0.6 blocks, 41.7 FG%, 69.2 FT%, 30.2 minutes

Vassell had knee surgery last year, which set him back last season, and he only played 9 games after the all-star break. Those numbers may not be truly reflective of his season, as his steal rate and free throw percentage were higher over the entirety of the season and as such would project higher this coming season. He has shown the ability to create for himself in offense, especially with his three-point shooting. His playmaking flashes were visible too last year and that is something to watch.

Fantasy Outlook: Yahoo ADP is currently 71 and I think this is about right for where he should go. He has top 50 upside if he can improve his percentages, in particular finishing, and he is a decent defender, which should keep him on the court.

Check out my second-year players article here and my third-year players article here.

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